{"id":14572,"date":"2012-11-19T18:17:58","date_gmt":"2012-11-19T17:17:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=14572"},"modified":"2021-09-21T22:40:02","modified_gmt":"2021-09-21T20:40:02","slug":"turn-down-the-heat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2012\/11\/19\/turn-down-the-heat\/","title":{"rendered":"Turn down the heat"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"3-forecast_co2\"<\/a>
\nLo dice il presidente della\u00a0Banca Mondiale<\/a> – qui ci sono 20,7 \u00b0C stando il termostato che regola i termosifoni – in una sorta di aggiunta allo SREX<\/a>, legata alle sue attivit\u00e0. Ha commissionato un rapporto all’Institute for Climate Impact Research<\/a> di Postdam sugli impatti di +4 \u00b0C, in particolare nei paesi poveri, rif. per esempio il box a pag. 62 per l’Africa subsahariana e la sicurezza alimentare.<\/p>\n

La parte finale riguarda le non linearit\u00e0 ambientali e sociali. Mi sembrano fatte bene il focus sulle temperature estreme (p. 37 e segg.) e le due appendici che spiegano i modelli per l’innalzamento del livello del mare e per la maggior frequenza delle ondate di calore. Bibliografia e grafici utili, ma gi\u00e0 noti a chi segue le ricerche.<\/span>
\nConclusione:<\/span><\/p>\n

It seems clear that climate change in a 4\u00b0C world could seriously undermine poverty alleviation in many regions. This is supported by past observations of the negative effects of climate change on economic growth in developing countries. While developed countries have been and are projected to be adversely affected by impacts resulting from climate change, adaptive capacities in developing regions are weaker.<\/em>
\nThe burden of climate change in the future will very likely be borne differentially by those in regions already highly vulnerable to climate change and variability. Given that it remains uncertain whether adaptation and further progress toward development goals will be possible at this level of climate change, the projected 4\u00b0C warming simply must not be allowed to occur\u2014the heat must be turned down. Only early, cooperative, international actions can make that happen.<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Da collegare al <\/span>World Energy Outlook 2012<\/a> (<\/span>riassunto<\/a>) dell’EIA uscito una settimana fa. A parte la terza sezione sull’Iraq e quelle sui paesi produttori di combustibili fossili, sembra un’aggiunta al paper di Drew Shindell et al. su <\/span>Science<\/em> a gennaio.<\/span><\/p>\n

Our analysis shows that in the absence of a concerted policy push, two-thirds of the economically viable potential to improve energy efficiency will remain unrealised through to 2035. Action to improve energy efficiency could delay the complete \u2018lock-in\u2019 of the allowable emissions of carbon dioxide under a 2\u00b0 C trajectory \u2013 which is currently set to happen in 2017 \u2013 until 2022, buying time to secure a much-needed global climate agreement. It would also bring substantial energy security and economic benefits, including cutting fuel bills by 20% on average.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

E <\/span>limitare<\/a> i profitti di \u00a0BigOil & Coal? Ma non scherziamo.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lo dice il presidente della\u00a0Banca Mondiale – qui ci sono 20,7 \u00b0C stando il termostato che regola i termosifoni – in una sorta di aggiunta allo SREX, legata alle sue attivit\u00e0. Ha commissionato un rapporto all’Institute for Climate Impact Research di Postdam sugli impatti di +4 \u00b0C, in particolare nei paesi poveri, rif. per esempio… Continua a leggere Turn down the heat<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[143,214,731,6102],"class_list":["post-14572","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ambiente","category-clima","tag-acqua","tag-agricoltura","tag-banca-mondiale","tag-sanita","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14572","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14572"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14572\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41179,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14572\/revisions\/41179"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14572"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14572"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14572"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}