{"id":17303,"date":"2013-04-26T15:38:12","date_gmt":"2013-04-26T13:38:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=17303"},"modified":"2021-09-25T19:14:00","modified_gmt":"2021-09-25T17:14:00","slug":"cauti-ottimismi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2013\/04\/26\/cauti-ottimismi\/","title":{"rendered":"Cauti ottimismi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"text-align: center;\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.scientificamerican.com\/thoughtful-animal\/files\/2012\/04\/vervet-monkey.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Da <em>Nature:<\/em><\/strong><br \/>\n&#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/the-fight-against-bird-flu-1.12850\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>editoriale<\/strong><\/a> sulla Cina che ha reagito bene alla comparsa del virus H7N9, ma pu\u00f2 fare di meglio; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/h7n9-is-a-virus-worth-worrying-about-1.12853\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Peter Horby<\/strong><\/a> del Wellcome Trust \u00a0trova il virus un po&#8217; preoccupante, come parecchi suoi colleghi, perch\u00e9 potrebbe essere gi\u00e0 endemico anche se non letale negli uccelli selvatici:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>The small number of poultry in which H7N9 has so far been detected is rather puzzling, as are the 20% of people infected with the virus who have not reported exposure to poultry.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8211; il gruppo Nature ha stabilito per gli autori \u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/announcement-reducing-our-irreproducibility-1.12852\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">regole pi\u00f9 severe<\/a> <\/strong>che dovrebbero facilitare la riproducibilit\u00e0 dei risultati;<br \/>\n&#8211; secondo Daniel Cressey,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/europe-debates-risk-to-bees-1.12857\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>aumentano<\/strong><\/a> gli scienziati europei favorevoli a un bando dei nei-nicotinoidi. A me sembra che siano unanimi da un bel po&#8217;.<br \/>\n&#8211; un bel\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/firearms-research-the-gun-fighter-1.12864\"><strong>ritratto<\/strong><\/a> di Garen Wintemute, dell&#8217;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ucdmc.ucdavis.edu\/vprp\/aboutus\/wintemute.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>UC-Davis<\/strong><\/a>, uno dei rari americani a fare ricerca sugli effetti delle armi, intesi come morti e feriti, anche se \u00e8 vietato per legge a chi lavora in enti pubblici. Ci riesce &#8211; rischiando la pelle &#8211; perch\u00e9 \u00e8 ricco di famiglia e finanziato da fondazioni.<br \/>\nIl che mi ricorda che il mese scorso, la maggioranza repubblicana (che dice di voler ridurre l&#8217;interferenza dello stato&#8230;) ha imposto alla National Science Foundation di <a href=\"http:\/\/chronicle.com\/article\/Senate-Moves-to-Limit-NSF\/138027\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>finanziare<\/strong><\/a> le ricerche in scienze politiche unicamente se favoriscono lo sviluppo economico e la sicurezza nazionale.<br \/>\n&#8211; a maggio esce la nuova edizione del <a href=\"http:\/\/www.psychiatry.org\/practice\/dsm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders<\/em><\/a>, contestato dall&#8217;inizio e non solo per la presenza di Big Pharma in redazione. David Adam <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/mental-health-on-the-spectrum-1.12842\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>scrive<\/strong><\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>The problem is that biologists have been unable to find any genetic or neuroscientific evidence to support the breakdown of complex mental disorders into separate categories. Many psychiatrists, meanwhile, already think outside the category boxes, because they see so many patients whose symptoms do not fit neatly into them.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><em>&#8211; <\/em>il gruppo coordinato da Jeremy Farrar e Simon Haye (Oxford) ha\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v496\/n7446\/full\/nature12060.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>ricalcolato<\/strong><\/a> l&#8217;incidenza della dengue, onnipresente fra i Tropici nel loro modello:<br \/>\n<em>Using cartographic approaches, we estimate there to be 390 million (95% credible interval 284\u2013528) dengue infections per year, of which 96 million (67\u2013136) manifest apparently (any level of disease severity). This infection total is more than <strong>three times<\/strong> the dengue burden estimate of the World Health Organization<\/em><br \/>\nPaper gratis sul <a href=\"http:\/\/simonhay.zoo.ox.ac.uk\/uploads\/publications\/179\/Bhatt%20et%20al%20(2013).pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>sito di Simon H<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">Da <\/span><strong><em>Science<\/em><\/strong><br \/>\n&#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/340\/6131\/414.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>perplessit\u00e0<\/strong><\/a> sull&#8217;origine e la possibile evoluzione del virus H7N9; anche Eliot Marshall \u00e8 rimasto colpito dalle <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/340\/6131\/421.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>metafore<\/strong><\/a> usate dalla Corte Suprema per parlare dei brevetti sui geni;<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: x-small; line-height: 19px;\"><span style=\"line-height: 19px;\">&#8211; <\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">Erica van de Waal, Christ\u00e8le Borgeaud e <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/risweb.st-andrews.ac.uk\/portal\/da\/persons\/andrew-whiten(00983056-5f70-4a76-ad39-5820ce066bf3).html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Andrew Whiten<\/strong><\/a><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">, univ. St Andrews, <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/340\/6131\/483.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>dimostrano<\/strong><\/a><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\"> con alcuni esperimenti che i cercopitechi verdi si adeguano alle norme alimentari raccomandate dalla mamma anche se il cibo \u00e8 di un rosa nauseante, esattamente come fanno gli umani; <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">&#8211; Jenny Allen et al.,\u00a0univ. St. Andrews, <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/340\/6131\/485.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>dimostrano<\/strong><\/a><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\"> con osservazioni durate 27 anni che le <span style=\"text-decoration: line-through;\">balene gobbe<\/span> megattere (<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">gvdr insiste col politically correct<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">) <\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">si trasmettano le tecniche di caccia pi\u00f9 efficaci.<\/span><br \/>\n&#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/340\/6131\/437.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Commento<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\"> &#8211; che far\u00e0 gridare qualcuno all&#8217;antropomorfismo \u00a0&#8211; di Frans de Waal sull&#8217;apprendimento e il &#8220;conformismo&#8221; culturale degli animali piccoli e grandi. <\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">(Anche l&#8217;<\/span><em>Economist <\/em><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/news\/science-and-technology\/21576627-strange-case-bandit-bumblebees-bad-beehaviour\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>parla<\/strong><\/a> di apprendimento\/trasmissione &#8220;culturale&#8221;, sempre in campo alimentare, tra <a href=\"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00265-013-1539-0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>due specie di bombi<\/strong><\/a>.) <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">&#8211; Damon Matthews e Susan Salomon <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/340\/6131\/438.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>spiegano<\/strong><\/a> che il riscaldamento gi\u00e0 indotto dalle emissioni di CO2 \u00e8 irreversibile, ma<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\"><em>every increment of avoided temperature increase represents less warming that would otherwise persist for many centuries. Although emissions reductions cannot return global temperatures to pre-industrial levels, they do have the power to avert additional warming on the same time scale as the emissions reductions themselves. Climate warming tomorrow, this year, this decade, or this century is not predetermined by past CO2\u00a0emissions; it is yet to be determined by future emissions. <\/em><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px;\">&#8220;Ogni incremento di aumento di temperatura evitato&#8221; ecc.? Si poteva dire meglio, credo.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Da Nature: &#8211; editoriale sulla Cina che ha reagito bene alla comparsa del virus H7N9, ma pu\u00f2 fare di meglio; Peter Horby del Wellcome Trust \u00a0trova il virus un po&#8217; preoccupante, come parecchi suoi colleghi, perch\u00e9 potrebbe essere gi\u00e0 endemico anche se non letale negli uccelli selvatici: The small number of poultry in which H7N9&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2013\/04\/26\/cauti-ottimismi\/\">Continua a leggere <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Cauti ottimismi<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,10],"tags":[1742,1890,2025,2263,3225,4725,6166],"class_list":["post-17303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-altri-animali","category-clima","tag-cultura-animale","tag-dengue","tag-dms-v","tag-emissioni-di-co2","tag-gun-control","tag-nature","tag-science","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17303"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17303\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41484,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17303\/revisions\/41484"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}