{"id":22647,"date":"2014-03-25T15:42:24","date_gmt":"2014-03-25T14:42:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=22647"},"modified":"2021-09-29T16:38:55","modified_gmt":"2021-09-29T14:38:55","slug":"svapo-non-svapo-svapo-non","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2014\/03\/25\/svapo-non-svapo-svapo-non\/","title":{"rendered":"Svapo, non svapo, svapo, non&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Meglio confessarlo d&#8217;embl\u00e9e, non solo je suis une vapoteuse, ma seguo poco le ricerche su benefici e malefici della sigaretta elettronica. Davo per scontato &#8211; poi con le confessioni, smetto &#8211; il risultato del sondaggio su 949 fumatori di cui 88 anche &#8220;vapoteurs&#8221; fatto on line da Rachel Grana, Lucy Popova e <a href=\"http:\/\/tobacco.ucsf.edu\/users\/pling\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pamela Ling<\/a> sul <em><a href=\"http:\/\/archinte.jamanetwork.com\/article.aspx?articleid=1846627\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">JAMA Internal Medicine<\/a><\/em>: la probabilit\u00e0 di smettere o di ridurre il consumo di sigarette resta uguale con e senza la sigaretta elettronica.<\/p>\n<p>Morale: vanno sospese le pubblicit\u00e0 che affermano il contrario fino a quando ci saranno &#8220;evidenze scientifiche&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Senz&#8217;altro, per\u00f2 i dati di Ling et al. non ne fanno parte. Il campione \u00e8 troppo sbilanciato per la statistica che usano, le variabili che possono far confusione non son filtrate, le mie solite lamentele&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Peter Hajek, direttore della Tobacco Dependence Research Unit al Barts e alla London School of Medicine and Dentistry, le\u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/electronic-cigarettes-don-t-aid-quitting-study-says-1.14918\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">riassume<\/a><\/strong> meglio di quanto saprei fare io:<\/p>\n<p><em>Hajek says that the new paper shows only that e-cigarettes appeal to smokers who are heavily dependent on tobacco. The same results would be obtained if the survey looked at smokers who try nicotine-replacement treatments, he says, and the results have no bearing at all on whether e-cigarettes are or are not an effective method of smoking cessation. The conclusions the authors of the paper draw are \u201cjust not related in any way to the study finding&#8221;.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">S&#8217;\u00e8 <a href=\"http:\/\/retractionwatch.com\/2014\/03\/25\/march-madness-harvard-profs-take-shots-at-controversial-studies-request-retractions\/#comment-86695\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">visto di peggio<\/a>, come il <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/news.sciencemag.org\/health\/2014\/03\/scientists-fix-errors-controversial-paper-about-saturated-fats\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">finding <\/a><\/strong>sui grassi saturi che gioverebbero alla salute pi\u00f9 di quelli insaturi&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">*<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Se fossi <a href=\"http:\/\/gomppublic.uniroma1.it\/Docenti\/Render.aspx?UID=9bb83b14-0963-4db5-a909-e905547e1a54\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Loretta Gratani<\/a>, prof. ordinario alla Sapienza, forse non starei nel <a href=\"http:\/\/www.macrothink.org\/journal\/index.php\/jbls\/about\/editorialTeam\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">comitato editoriale<\/a> di una rivista che\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/scholarlyoa.com\/2012\/04\/17\/two-institutes-that-want-your-money\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">per 100 dollari <\/a>pubblica <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/retractionwatch.com\/2014\/03\/24\/entomologist-surprised-to-find-name-on-now-retracted-paper-alleging-fossils-oppose-darwins-theory-of-evolution\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bufale creazioniste<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>in <a href=\"http:\/\/freethoughtblogs.com\/pharyngula\/2014\/03\/24\/if-a-creationist-take-a-dump-in-a-science-journal-and-the-science-journal-later-flushes-it-away-does-it-still-stink\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gramelot<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">*<\/p>\n<p><strong><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/lh4.ggpht.com\/_Ffi7yIm3-e0\/S1_TQfvv9PI\/AAAAAAAADjw\/W4BahFNYDog\/Cherry%20picking_thumb%5B2%5D.jpg?imgmax=800\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<\/strong><br \/>\nSta diventando uno sport nazionale. Anche <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.skepticalscience.com\/fivethirtyeight-pielke-downplay-climate-damages.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Skeptical Science<\/a><\/strong> critica i contributi di Roger Pielke Jr alla testata on-line che dovrebbe incarnare un nuovo giornalismo &#8220;basato sui dati&#8221; e su statistiche affidabili:<\/p>\n<p><em>frankly\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/thingsbreak.wordpress.com\/2014\/03\/19\/nate-silver-falls-off\/\">Pielke is not good at statistics<\/a>.\u00a0 Instead, Pielke is known for taking a selective view of the peer-reviewed scientific literature in order to downplay\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.skepticalscience.com\/extreme-weather-global-warming-intermediate.htm\">the connection between human-caused global warming and extreme weather<\/a>.\u00a0 Predictably,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/disasters-cost-more-than-ever-but-not-because-of-climate-change\/\">Pielke&#8217;s first two posts at FiveThirtyEight<\/a>\u00a0did exactly that, and included a litany of errors:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>The headline and main point of his post are wrong.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>He misrepresents his own research.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>The references he provides don&#8217;t say what he claims and don&#8217;t support his argument.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Research he neglects contradicts his conclusions.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>He doesn&#8217;t include all available data.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>He incorrectly claims that weather-related disasters aren&#8217;t becoming more frequent.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>He fails to account for the costs of improved technology and the damages they prevent.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>He considers only land-falling hurricanes whose damages are highly variable.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>His conclusions are contradicted by the increased intensity of North Atlantic hurricanes, and global warming&#8217;s contribution to their\u00a0storm surges and flooding.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Povero Pielke, non pu\u00f2 fare diversamente: deve dimostrare che il clima non peggiora abbastanza per ripagare in termini di PIL &#8211; cio\u00e8 di beni prodotti, non di beni salvati, risparmiati ecc. &#8211; un investimento che ne mitighi gli effetti.<br \/>\nSta diventando uno sport internazionale, in realt\u00e0, \u00e8 &#8220;<strong>s<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/archives\/2014\/03\/the-most-common-fallacy-in-discussing-extreme-weather-events\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ceso in campo<\/a><\/strong>&#8221; anche <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pik-potsdam.de\/~stefan\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Stefan Rahmstorf<\/a>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Anche Phil Plait <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slate.com\/blogs\/bad_astronomy\/2014\/03\/24\/answers_in_genesis_creationism_and_global_warming_denial.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">scopre<\/a><\/strong> che i\u00a0creazionisti negano i cambiamenti climatici&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">*<\/p>\n<p>Da <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.climalteranti.it\/2014\/03\/21\/da-bonn-aggiornamenti-sui-negoziati-climatici\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Climalteranti<\/a><\/strong>, Gabriele Messori riassume i negoziati di Bonn e cerca di restare ottimista.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">A ridosso del rapporto dell&#8217;ONU sull&#8217;inquinamento dell&#8217;acqua, esce quello dell&#8217;Organizzazione mondiale della sanit\u00e0 sull&#8217;inquinamento dell&#8217;aria. Stima delle vittime nel 2012: circa 7 milioni, prima le donne e i bambini. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/news\/releases\/2014\/air-pollution\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Com. stampa<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/phe\/health_topics\/outdoorair\/databases\/AP_jointeffect_BoD_results_March2014.pdf?ua=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">riassunto e tabelle<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Breaking news (not)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/pdf\/press\/140325_WGII_press_release.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>IPCC starts meeting to finalize Working Group II report<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Prossimo com. stampa &#8220;IPCC inizia la correzione delle bozze del Working Group II report&#8221;?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Meglio confessarlo d&#8217;embl\u00e9e, non solo je suis une vapoteuse, ma seguo poco le ricerche su benefici e malefici della sigaretta elettronica. Davo per scontato &#8211; poi con le confessioni, smetto &#8211; il risultato del sondaggio su 949 fumatori di cui 88 anche &#8220;vapoteurs&#8221; fatto on line da Rachel Grana, Lucy Popova e Pamela Ling sul&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2014\/03\/25\/svapo-non-svapo-svapo-non\/\">Continua a leggere <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Svapo, non svapo, svapo, non&#8230;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,10,20],"tags":[639,1685,2470,3542,3600,6019,6313,6514,7304],"class_list":["post-22647","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bufala","category-clima","category-medicina","tag-assuefazione","tag-creazionismo","tag-eventi-estremi","tag-inquinamento-atmosferico","tag-ipcc","tag-roger-pielke-jr","tag-sigaretta-elettronica","tag-statistiche","tag-who","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22647","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22647"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22647\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42200,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22647\/revisions\/42200"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22647"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22647"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22647"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}