{"id":26004,"date":"2014-09-25T12:42:11","date_gmt":"2014-09-25T10:42:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=26004"},"modified":"2021-10-10T17:05:59","modified_gmt":"2021-10-10T15:05:59","slug":"curry-bifronte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2014\/09\/25\/curry-bifronte\/","title":{"rendered":"Curry bifronte"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sul suo blog, in conferenze e in testimonianze al Congresso (1)\u00a0Judith Curry, del politecnico della Georgia e del Tea Party, accusa le migliaia di colleghi che fanno ricerca sul clima, Michael Mann in particolare, di manipolare i dati e i rapporti IPCC di essere inaffidabili<\/p>\n<p>. Quindi <a href=\"https:\/\/andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com\/2014\/09\/24\/curry-for-dinner\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">raccomanda ai politici<\/a> di non prendere alcun provvedimento per limitare le emissioni di gas serra: a) non \u00e8 detto che abbiano contribuito al risc. glob. degli ultimi 60 anni; b) ci sono troppe incertezze sulle conseguenze; c) che forse non ci saranno nemmeno perch\u00e9 le temperature hanno smesso di <a href=\"https:\/\/andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com\/2014\/09\/24\/curry-for-dinner\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">aumentare dal 1998<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.wmo.int\/pages\/mediacentre\/press_releases\/images\/clip_image002_006.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">(La vecchia\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/2014\/09\/19\/la-realta-non-e-mai-volgare\/comment-page-1\/#comment-621861\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bufala<\/a>\u00a0era ripetuta da\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/2014\/09\/19\/la-realta-non-e-mai-volgare\/comment-page-1\/#comment-621501\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hermano Tobia\u00a0<\/a>che credeva di essere <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatemonitor.it\/?p=10848\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">originale<\/a>&#8230;)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;\">Insieme a <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.skepticalscience.com\/climate-sensitivity-single-study-syndrome-nic-lewis-edition.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nicholas Lewis<\/a><\/strong>, Judith Curry scrive\u00a0il contrario su\u00a0<em><a href=\"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00382-014-2342-y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Climate Dynamics<\/a>\u00a0<\/em>in\u00a0un\u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/niclewis.files.wordpress.com\/2014\/09\/lewiscurry_ar5-energy-budget-climate-sensitivity_clim-dyn2014_accepted-reformatted-edited.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">articolo<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0che\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px;\">si fonda sulla validit\u00e0 dell&#8217;ultimo rapporto IPCC :<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0<em>Energy budget estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) and transient climate response (TCR) are derived using the comprehensive 1750\u20132011 time series and the uncertainty ranges for forcing components provided in the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/search?dc.title=Intergovernmental+Panel+on+Climate+Change&amp;facet-content-type=ReferenceWorkEntry&amp;sortOrder=relevance\">Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change<\/a>\u00a0Fifth Assessment Working Group I Report, along with its estimates of heat accumulation in the climate system. \u00a0<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Per copiare senza che si veda troppo il <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.iac.ethz.ch\/people\/knuttir\/papers\/otto13nat.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lavoro <\/a><\/strong>di Reto Knutti e altri amici di Steph, scelgono periodi di riferimento diversi:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-size: 13px;\">Using 1859\u20131882 for the base period and 1995\u20132011 for the final period, thus avoiding major volcanic activity, median estimates are derived for ECS of 1.64\u00a0K and for TCR of 1.33\u00a0K. \u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px;\">ECS 17\u201383 and 5\u201395\u00a0% uncertainty ranges are 1.25\u20132.45 and 1.05\u20134.05\u00a0K; the corresponding TCR ranges are 1.05\u20131.80 and 0.90\u20132.50\u00a0K.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>La sensitivit\u00e0 del clima quando cambia la forzante radiativa &#8211; \u00a0la concentrazione atmosferica di CO2 equiv. &#8211; <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.earth-syst-dynam.net\/5\/139\/2014\/esd-5-139-2014.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">somiglia <\/a><\/strong>a\u00a0quella ottenuta da altri. Solo un filino pi\u00f9 bassa grazie a un&#8217;analisi del bilancio energetico, gi\u00e0 nota per abbassarla.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Results using alternative well-matched base and final periods provide similar best estimates but give wider uncertainty ranges, principally reflecting smaller changes in average forcing.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Le incertezze di Lewis &amp; Curry arrivano fino a +9 K, pi\u00f9 allarmisti di cos\u00ec&#8230;<br \/>\n(1) A<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com\/2014\/01\/19\/some-comments-on-judith-currys-epw-testimony\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> pack of lies<\/a><\/strong>, usually.<br \/>\nh\/t\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/blog.hotwhopper.com\/2014\/09\/judith-curry-vanquishes-her-uncertainty.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hot Whopper<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sul suo blog, in conferenze e in testimonianze al Congresso (1)\u00a0Judith Curry, del politecnico della Georgia e del Tea Party, accusa le migliaia di colleghi che fanno ricerca sul clima, Michael Mann in particolare, di manipolare i dati e i rapporti IPCC di essere inaffidabili . Quindi raccomanda ai politici di non prendere alcun provvedimento&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2014\/09\/25\/curry-bifronte\/\">Continua a leggere <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Curry bifronte<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[3780,6249],"class_list":["post-26004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-clima","tag-judith-curry","tag-sensitivita","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26004","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26004"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26004\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42617,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26004\/revisions\/42617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26004"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26004"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26004"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}