{"id":26253,"date":"2014-10-11T13:46:37","date_gmt":"2014-10-11T11:46:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=26253"},"modified":"2021-10-10T17:44:02","modified_gmt":"2021-10-10T15:44:02","slug":"piove-ladro-a-chi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2014\/10\/11\/piove-ladro-a-chi\/","title":{"rendered":"Piove, ladro a chi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Su Genova piovono anche <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ilsecoloxix.it\/p\/genova\/2014\/10\/11\/ARK9VuDC-gabrielli_qualcuno_sbagliato.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bufale<\/a><\/strong>. Nella realt\u00e0, i temporali &#8220;gravi&#8221; erano stati previsti nel bollettino meteo di &#8220;mercoled\u00ec 8 ottobre ore 10.24&#8221; con tanto di cartello &#8220;pericolo&#8221; per la notte tra gioved\u00ec e venerd\u00ec. Sar\u00f2 sfuggito al capo della Protezione Civile Franco Gabrielli, ma non ai media che ne sono stati informati dal lancio dell&#8217;ANSA.<\/p>\n<p>Viste le alluvioni ed esondazioni &#8220;catastrofiche&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.arpal.gov.it\/contenuti_statici\/\/clima\/prec\/prec_2013.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ricorrenti<\/a> in autunno, \u00e8 strano che gli abitanti &#8211; anche di altre citt\u00e0 &#8211; ignorino le conseguenze di un&#8217;allegra<a href=\"http:\/\/www.climalteranti.it\/2011\/11\/12\/l-impatto-combinato-dei-cambiamenti-del-clima-e-dell-uso-del-suolo\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> cementificazione e copertura di fiumi e torrenti<\/a>, denunciate da mezzo secolo. E la maggior frequenza e intensit\u00e0 degli eventi estremi, previste dal\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/ipccreports\/far\/wg_I\/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">primo rapporto dell&#8217;IPCC<\/a> nel 1988 e da quelli <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climalteranti.it\/2013\/10\/21\/in-futuro-precipitazione-piu-intense-nella-regione-euro-mediterranea\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">successivi<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Successo della propaganda anti-scienza? Amnesia? Rassegnazione? Diniego della realt\u00e0? Ottimismo giulivo? Mossa dello struzzo? Fede nella divina Provvidenza?<\/p>\n<p>Domande ricorrenti nel caso di altri rischi, rif. O&#8217;s Digest sotto. Se ne discute nei papers di sociologia e di psicologia, poco convincenti almeno quelli che ho letto fino adesso. Lo sono di pi\u00f9 i provvedimenti del sindaco Bloomberg e di altri amministratori meno miopi (e corrotti ). A chi li elegge, ricordo che Climalteranti aveva sintetizzato <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climalteranti.it\/2013\/03\/25\/la-gestione-dei-rischi-in-un-clima-mutato-parte-iii-le-criticita\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">in tre articoli<\/a> gli interventi indispensabili per una &#8220;gestione del rischio&#8221; un tantino pi\u00f9 tempestiva e ragionevole.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p><strong>O&#8217;s digest<\/strong><br \/>\nDa\u00a0<em>Nature<\/em>,<br \/>\n&#8211; primo editoriale &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/doifinder\/10.1038\/514139a\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Out of Africa<\/a>&#8220;, su Ebola. Refrain<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>The situation has become so bad that no one knows the true numbers of cases and deaths, only that they are probably much larger than official estimates. And the accompanying collapse of the countries\u2019 health systems means that people are unnecessarily falling victim to malaria and other diseases. One does not need a mathematical model to foresee how bad this could get.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&#8211; Il secondo <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/a-little-knowledge-1.16084\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">riguarda<\/a> la riproducibilit\u00e0 dei risultati e le &#8220;conoscenze tacite&#8221; illustrate con un divertente aneddoto sul tasso di decadimento dello zaffiro misurato dai russi, ma non nei lab inglesi e americani<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Only after years of struggling with various lubricants did the Western researchers realize that one member of the Russian group would sometimes run the thread across the bridge of his nose or behind his ear. With the right amount of human \u2018flossing\u2019 (and the right human), the Western scientists managed to get similar results.\u00a0<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/cloudfront.mediamatters.org\/static\/uploader\/image\/2014\/10\/02\/noaa_walrus.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mediamatters.org\/blog\/2014\/10\/02\/35000-beached-walruses-still-cant-convince-the\/200991\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fonte<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/holy-cows-1.16085\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Holy Cows<\/a>&#8221; \u00e8 un titolo scherzoso, speriamo che i fondamentalisti ind\u00f9 \u00a0non se la prendano, a proposito di un altro evento estremo diventato pi\u00f9 frequente:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>In the last week, environmental campaigners have cried that the mass walrus beaching in Alaska, first spotted last month, is another clear signal of our warming world. Climate-change sceptics insist that the event is nothing unusual, and have dug out records of previous mass walrus \u2018haul-outs\u2019 to support their case. Delighted by the novelty (images of melting glaciers are so 2009), much of the media has discussed the story, and tried hard to work in a Beatles <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=42luHhrsNhg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">song reference<\/a><\/strong>.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Link alla reference aggiunto per i passanti pi\u00f9 giovani&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><em>There is a simple way to tell this tale. Walruses spend much of their time out of the water, especially when they are rearing young. They prefer to perch on floating sea ice, which gives them access to the seabed, where most of their food lives. As sea ice retreats north \u2014 and this year provided the sixth-lowest extent of summer Arctic ice on record \u2014 more walruses have to haul themselves onto the coast. Since 2000, increasing numbers of Pacific walruses (the Atlantic population is less affected) have been forced onto the beaches around the Chukchi Sea; in October 2010, scientists counted a gathering of 120,000 at Cape Serdtse-Kamen in Russia.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>The demographics also suggest that something out of the ordinary is going on: female walruses usually recognize the risks of mass haul-outs, and leave the bulls to it.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>The link between increased walrus haul-outs on Arctic beaches and the decreased availability of sea ice is clear-cut. The link to climate change is less so, at least in the short term. &#8230; Annual peaks and troughs \u2014 of animal movement and ice measurements \u2014 are symbolic, but the long-term trend is clear: the Arctic is warming, its ice is melting and the walrus\u2019s traditional habitat is disappearing. The walruses of the Pacific Arctic face an uncertain future. They might be able to move, they might be able to adapt. Or they might be stuffed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; da non perdere il <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v514\/n7521\/full\/514170a.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">commento<\/a>\u00a0di\u00a0Wil Roebroeks\u00a0e il <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v514\/n7521\/full\/nature13422.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">paper<\/a> del gruppo di Maxime Aubert, sulle pitture rupestri in una grotta di Sulawesi, Indonesia, che un metodo pi\u00f9 preciso di datazione fa risalire a 39.900 anni fa.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>In addition, a painting of a babirusa (\u2018pig-deer\u2019) made at least 35.4 kyr ago is among the earliest dated figurative depictions worldwide, if not the earliest one. Among the implications, it can now be demonstrated that humans were producing rock art by ~40 kyr ago at opposite ends of the Pleistocene Eurasian world.\u00a0<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Emozionante anche il video. Tra gli altri papers, segnalo di corsa:<br \/>\n&#8211; <strong>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v514\/n7521\/full\/nature13774.html#affil-auth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">quello<\/a><\/strong> di una collaborazione sino-italo-elvetica sulla composizione e la provenienza degli aerosol che asfissiavano gli abitanti di Pechino\u00a0Shanghai, Guangzhou e Xi\u2019an nel gennaio 2013;<br \/>\n&#8211; con una serie di esperimenti, trapianti fecali compresi,ormai sono di routine, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v514\/n7521\/full\/nature13793.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jotham Suez <\/a>del Weizmann et al. hanno misurato &#8211; nei topi per ora &#8211; gli effetti deleteri dei dolcificanti non calorici sul microbiota intestinale e quindi sul metabolismo. Non proprio <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.centroconsumatori.it\/43v187d25012.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">una sorpresa<\/a><\/strong>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p>Da<strong><em> Science<\/em><\/strong><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/346\/6206\/151\/F2.medium.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n&#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/346\/6206\/151.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ebola<\/a>, ovviamente (e in open access, come Nature, finalmente);<br \/>\n&#8211; due papers e una &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/346\/6206\/163.summary\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">perspective<\/a>&#8221;\u00a0di economisti sul tasso di fecondit\u00e0 che non cala in Africa per cui <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/346\/6206\/234.abstract\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">aumenteremmo<\/a> oltre la fine del secolo, e sull&#8217;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/346\/6206\/229.abstract\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">invecchiamento<\/a> della popolazione e gli scenari che ne derivano (se <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/news\/finance-and-economics\/21623757-ageing-societies-create-many-employment-challenges-work-until-you-drop\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ne occupa<\/a> anche l&#8217;<em>Economist<\/em>, come fa spesso);<br \/>\n<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/content\/346\/6206\/178.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Speciale sui robot<\/a>,<\/strong> umanoidi in particolare<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>As robots become more sophisticated, psychological paradoxes are coming into sharper relief. Robots that look human strike many of us as downright creepy (as this week&#8217;s cover attests), while robots that act human\u2014when they are programmed, for example, to cheat at cards\u2014somehow put us at ease. And no matter how uncannily lifelike some of today&#8217;s robots may seem, the resemblance is skin-deep. A stubborn challenge has been endowing robots with not only the capability to sense their environment, but also the wits to make sense of it. Robots will get there eventually, and when that happens we&#8217;ll be confronted with a new array of ethical and moral questions. Questions like: Should robots be accorded rights as sentient beings? The rise of the machines will be anything but predictable.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Nuove domande etiche e morali, non direi. Una <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Susan_Calvin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">famosa psicologa<\/a> se le poneva negli anni Quaranta&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Su Genova piovono anche bufale. Nella realt\u00e0, i temporali &#8220;gravi&#8221; erano stati previsti nel bollettino meteo di &#8220;mercoled\u00ec 8 ottobre ore 10.24&#8221; con tanto di cartello &#8220;pericolo&#8221; per la notte tra gioved\u00ec e venerd\u00ec. Sar\u00f2 sfuggito al capo della Protezione Civile Franco Gabrielli, ma non ai media che ne sono stati informati dal lancio dell&#8217;ANSA.&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2014\/10\/11\/piove-ladro-a-chi\/\">Continua a leggere <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Piove, ladro a chi?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10,15],"tags":[1884,2109,2470,4563,4725,6012,6166,6627],"class_list":["post-26253","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ambiente","category-clima","category-economia","tag-demografia","tag-ebola","tag-eventi-estremi","tag-modelli","tag-nature","tag-robot","tag-science","tag-susan-calvin","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26253","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26253"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26253\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42640,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26253\/revisions\/42640"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26253"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26253"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26253"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}