{"id":29180,"date":"2016-01-05T16:56:27","date_gmt":"2016-01-05T15:56:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=29180"},"modified":"2021-12-05T22:08:12","modified_gmt":"2021-12-05T21:08:12","slug":"nuove-leve","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2016\/01\/05\/nuove-leve\/","title":{"rendered":"Nuove leve"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.childrenshospitalofillinois.org\/trachea-surgery\/mark-holterman-md.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/thumbnails-visually.netdna-ssl.com\/albedo-effect_5124571a1c371_w250_h250.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nSu<em>\u00a0Nature Climate Change\u00a0<\/em>di gennaio, Martin Leduc e altri due <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.concordia.ca\/faculty\/damon-matthews.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">giovani<\/a><\/strong> temerari\u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/doifinder\/10.1038\/nclimate2913\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">provano<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>a stimare su scala regionale la variazione della temperatura in funzione dell&#8217;accumulo di CO2 atmosferica (TRCE) nei vari scenari di emissione. Usano un modello di &#8220;pattern scaling&#8221; come quello della <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www2.ucar.edu\/atmosnews\/people\/claudia-tebaldi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tebaldi<\/a><\/strong> (una diva) e ottengono da 1\u00b0C per gli oceani e le terre emerse tra i Tropici a 5 \u00b0C per l&#8217;Artico. Dall&#8217;abstract:<\/p>\n<p><em>This suggests that <strong>ice-albedo and ocean circulation feedbacks<\/strong> are important contributors to the overall negative deviation from linearity of the global temperature response to high levels of cumulative emissions. The strong linearity of the regional climate response over most land regions provides a robust way to quantitatively link anthropogenic CO2 emissions to local-scale climate impacts.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.conservation.cam.ac.uk\/person\/anthony-lamb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Anthony Lamb<\/a><\/strong> di Cambridge et al. si\u00a0<strong><a href=\"\/\/www.nature.com\/nclimate\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nclimate2910.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">occupano\u00a0<\/a><\/strong>del tema discusso in questi giorni (1): le emissioni di gas serra da attivit\u00e0 agricole. La soluzione \u00e8 ridurre le superfici coltivate per farle tornare selvatiche e &#8211; sorpresona &#8211; limitare\u00a0il<strong>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nclimate\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/images_article\/nclimate2910-f2.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">consumo di carne<\/a><\/strong> (proteine animali) e lo spreco di cibo. Non si fanno molte illusioni sulla sua fattibilit\u00e0:<\/p>\n<p><em>Using the UK as an example, we estimate net emissions in 2050 under a range of future agricultural scenarios. We find that a land-sparing strategy has the technical potential to achieve significant reductions in net emissions from agriculture and land-use change. Coupling land sparing with demand-side strategies to reduce meat consumption and food waste can further increase the technical mitigation potential\u2014however, economic and implementation considerations might limit the degree to which this technical potential could be realized in\u00a0practice.<\/em><br \/>\n<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.exeter.ac.uk\/news\/featurednews\/title_489216_en.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Com. stampa<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wageningenur.nl\/en\/Persons\/drs.-MTH-Michelle-van-Vliet.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Michelle van Vliet<\/a>, post-doc a Wageningen e allo IIASA, et al.\u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nclimate\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nclimate2903.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">calcolano<\/a><\/strong> i rischi che il riscaldamento globale e conseguente scarsit\u00e0 d&#8217;acqua fresca fanno correre alla produzione mondiale di energia idro- e termo-elettrica (anche da nucleare):<\/p>\n<p><em>Using a coupled hydrological\u2013electricity modelling framework with data on 24,515 hydropower and 1,427 thermoelectric power plants, we show reductions in usable capacity for 61\u201374% of the hydropower plants and 81\u201386% of the thermoelectric power plants worldwide for 2040\u20132069.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Altri dettagli sul\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2016\/jan\/05\/climate-change-could-dry-up-global-power-production-study-warns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em><strong>Guardian<\/strong><\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>La quarta brutta notizia \u00e8 che\u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/doifinder\/10.1038\/nclimate2899\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">si \u00e8 capito<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0perch\u00e9 sta accelerando la fusione dei ghiacciai groenlandesi (<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/news.yorku.ca\/2016\/01\/04\/climate-change-altering-greenland-ice-sheet-and-accelerating-sea-level-rise-says-york-u-prof\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">com. stampa<\/a><\/strong>), la quinta che anche per <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.climalteranti.it\/2016\/01\/05\/2015-temperature-record-con-distacco\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Claudio Cassardo<\/a><\/strong> di Climalteranti il 2015 \u00e8 stato da record &#8220;con distacco&#8221;, passo ad altro.<\/p>\n<p>Da Real Climate, Gavin Schmidt prima\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/archives\/2016\/01\/marvel-et-al-2015-part-1-reconciling-estimates-of-climate-sensitivity\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>spiega<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0bene &#8211; d&#8217;altronde ne \u00e8 uno degli autori &#8211; il <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1038\/nclimate2888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">paper<\/a> <\/strong>di Kate <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/marvelclimate.blogspot.it\/2014\/09\/thanks-for-your-feedback.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Marvel<\/a><\/strong> et al. sulla reazione delle singole forzanti climatiche all&#8217;aumento dei gas serra e altre sostanze climateranti dal 1850 in poi che mi era tanto piaciuto circa tre settimane fa. Poi <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/archives\/2016\/01\/marvel-et-al-2015-part-2-media-responses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">racconta<\/a><\/strong> com&#8217;\u00e8 stato frainteso dai media negaioli il comunicato stampa della NASA.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cowspiracy!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>L&#8217;<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1002\/clen.201000316\/abstract\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">articolo<\/a><\/strong> &#8220;Evaluation of Co-Digestion at a Commercial Dairy Anaerobic Digester&#8221; \u00e8 stato <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/retractionwatch.com\/2016\/01\/05\/a-new-excuse-for-data-fabrication-my-notebook-blew-into-a-manure-pit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ritrattato<\/a><\/strong>, perch\u00e9 i dati n\u00e9 quadravano n\u00e9 erano reperibili in quanto, secondo il primo autore che li aveva<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/drive.google.com\/file\/d\/0BxwkWum8Nm1BUGtaQ2tQTGFsb0E\/view?usp=sharing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> falsificati<\/a><\/strong>,<\/p>\n<p><em>his laboratory notebook which was blown into a manure pit at WSU\u2019s Knott Dairy Farm during a windstorm in March 2008, the photocopied pages of the laboratory notebook which were lost at his sister\u2019s house in Lewiston, Idaho, in February 2008, and the data file on his office computer&#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Gross misconduct<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">L&#8217;anno scorso avevo <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/oggiscienza.it\/tag\/paolo-macchiarini\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">scritto<\/a><\/strong> del chirurgo Paolo Macchiarini durante le indagini del Karolinska sui suoi papers sospetti e quando era stato riconosciuto<strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=28549\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">innocente<\/a><\/strong> da &#8220;misconduct&#8221; nel senso scientifico del termine. Quello che non avevo sospettato era la sua (doppia) vita raccontata ora da Adam Ciralsky su <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.vanityfair.com\/news\/2016\/01\/celebrity-surgeon-nbc-news-producer-scam\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Vanity Fair<\/em><\/a><\/strong>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><em>When Benita Alexander fell for celebrated doctor Paolo Macchiarini\u2014while filming a <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/watch\/nbc-news\/a-leap-of-faith-part-1-291176515926\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">documentary<\/a><\/strong> about him\u2014she thought her biggest problem was a breach of journalistic ethics. Then things got really interesting.<\/em><em> \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/watch\/nbc-news\/a-leap-of-faith-part-1-291176515926\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Link aggiunto<\/a><\/strong>. Il seguito \u00e8 molto interessante in effetti&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Su\u00a0Nature Climate Change\u00a0di gennaio, Martin Leduc e altri due giovani temerari\u00a0provano\u00a0a stimare su scala regionale la variazione della temperatura in funzione dell&#8217;accumulo di CO2 atmosferica (TRCE) nei vari scenari di emissione. Usano un modello di &#8220;pattern scaling&#8221; come quello della Tebaldi (una diva) e ottengono da 1\u00b0C per gli oceani e le terre emerse tra&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2016\/01\/05\/nuove-leve\/\">Continua a leggere <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Nuove leve<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,10],"tags":[214,1410,2200,2264,2901,3199,4563,5178],"class_list":["post-29180","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bufala","category-clima","tag-agricoltura","tag-claudia-tebaldi","tag-elettricita","tag-emissioni-di-gas-serra","tag-gavin-schmidt","tag-groenlandia","tag-modelli","tag-paolo-macchiarini","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29180","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29180"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29180\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43909,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29180\/revisions\/43909"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29180"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29180"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29180"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}