{"id":29750,"date":"2016-04-09T18:57:04","date_gmt":"2016-04-09T16:57:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=29750"},"modified":"2021-12-06T21:31:59","modified_gmt":"2021-12-06T20:31:59","slug":"pole-position","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2016\/04\/09\/pole-position\/","title":{"rendered":"Pole position"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/d3a5ak6v9sb99l.cloudfront.net\/content\/advances\/2\/4\/e1501693\/F5.large.jpg?width=800&amp;height=600&amp;carousel=1\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/d3a5ak6v9sb99l.cloudfront.net\/content\/advances\/2\/4\/e1501693\/F5.large.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fig. 4 riassuntiva<\/a>,<\/strong> margini di errore in rosso e blu<\/p>\n<p>Su<strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/advances.sciencemag.org\/content\/2\/4\/e1501693.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Science Advances<\/em><\/a><\/strong>, la rivista open access di Science, Surendra Adhikari ed Erik Ivins del JPL usano le misure geodetiche\/gravitazionali dei satelliti <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.csr.utexas.edu\/grace\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Grace<\/a><\/strong>, principalmente, per mappare gli spostamenti dei poli \u00a0dal Canada verso la Norvegia (moto uguale e contrario a sud) dal 2003 al 2015 e altri dati per ricostruire i movimenti precedenti.<\/p>\n<p>Non \u00e8 molto sorprendente se si pensa all&#8217;oscillazione provocata dallo tsunami del 2004, deve pur esserci un qualche effetto della fusione dei ghiacci e della massa sempre maggiore degli oceani, per\u00f2 c&#8217;\u00e8 una cosa interessante. Dal 2000, l&#8217;effetto sposta il polo nord di 17 cm\/anno non solo per via delle gigatonnellate perse in mare dalla Groenlandia o dall&#8217;Antartide, ma perch\u00e9 le terre emerse dell&#8217;Europa continentale e dell&#8217;Asia \u00a0sembrano perdere acqua &#8211; \u00a0e quindi massa \u00a0&#8211; soprattutto in India e attorno al mar Caspio.<\/p>\n<p>L&#8217;alternanza di siccit\u00e0 e precipitazioni sull&#8217;Eurasia spiegherebbe anche l&#8217;oscillazione dei poli osservata dalla fine dell&#8217;Ottocento. Al condizionale, \u00e8 il primo lavoro di questo tipo.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">*<\/p>\n<p><strong>Post peer-review<\/strong><br \/>\nIeri in radio, segnalavo due paper secondo i quali tutti i modelli sarebbero sbagliati perch\u00e9 prevedono un eccesso di precipitazioni estreme nell&#8217;emisfero nord su <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v532\/n7597\/full\/nature17418.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Nature<\/em><\/a><\/strong>, e prevedono una sensibilit\u00e0 troppo bassa del clima al raddoppio della CO2 per carenze nel simulare le nubi, su<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/352\/6282\/224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00a0<em>Science<\/em><\/a><\/strong>. Bref, uno rassicurante, uno allarmante.<\/p>\n<p>Di mio aggiungevo che il primo faceva discutere (anche perch\u00e9 Zorita e Lundqvist a volte hanno preso cantonate) e che il secondo mi sembrava un po&#8217; azzardato.<br \/>\nMini-rassegna delle critiche, semmai aggiungo:<\/p>\n<p>Meno diluvi: <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/factcheck-are-climate-models-wrong-on-rainfall-extremes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Carbon Brief<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skepticalscience.com\/factcheck-are-climate-models-wrong-on-rainfall-extremes.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Skeptical Science<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\nTemperature pi\u00f9 calde: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/718157144487510017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gavin Schmidt<\/a>;<a href=\"http:\/\/julesandjames.blogspot.co.uk\/2016\/04\/climate-sensitivity-is-53c.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> James Annan<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com\/2016\/04\/07\/ecs-too-low\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">And then there&#8217;s physics<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">*<\/p>\n<p>Da\u00a0<span style=\"line-height: 1.5em;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/archives\/2016\/04\/the-volcano-gambit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Real Climate<\/a><\/strong>, Gavin Schmidt infilza la bufala &#8220;le nostre emissioni climalteranti sono niente rispetto a quelle dei vulcani&#8221;<\/span><br \/>\n<em>This \u201cvolcano gambit\u201d is an infallible sign that indicates the author is clueless about climate science, but few are aware of its long and interesting history\u2026<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Da <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climalteranti.it\/2016\/04\/09\/perche-votare-si-al-referendum-del-17-aprile\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Climalteranti<\/a> \u00e8 uscito &#8220;Perch\u00e9 votare s\u00ec al referendum&#8221; sulle trivelle.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Dati falsi, risultato giusto&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Su <em>Science<\/em> esce una <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/352\/6282\/220.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ricerca <\/a><\/strong>sulla percezione dei transessuali dopo una breve conversazione, di David Broockman e Joshua Kalla, il post-doc e lo studente che avevano scoperto che <a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/346\/6215\/1366?utm_content=buffer40aa6&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter.com&amp;utm_campaign=buffer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">quella<\/a> di LaCour e Green uscita su <em>Science<\/em>\u00a0a fine 2014 si basava su dati inventati da LaCour. Risultato:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><em>Here, we show that a single approximately 10-minute conversation encouraging actively taking the perspective of others can markedly reduce prejudice for at least 3 months. &#8230; \u00a0For the intervention, 56 canvassers went door to door encouraging active perspective-taking with 501 voters at voters\u2019 doorsteps. A randomized trial found that these conversations substantially reduced transphobia, with decreases greater than Americans\u2019 average decrease in homophobia from 1998 to 2012. These effects persisted for 3 months, and both transgender and nontransgender canvassers were effective.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Ancora pi\u00f9 efficace di quanto sostenevano LaCour e Green. Commento di <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/352\/6282\/147.full\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Elizabeth Levy Paluck<\/a><\/strong>; articolo di <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.wired.com\/2016\/04\/political-sciences-whistleblowers-rebunk-gay-canvassing-study\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Katie Palmer <\/a><\/strong>su <em>Wired<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p>Da Retraction Watch<br \/>\n&#8211; altre &#8220;immagini <a href=\"http:\/\/retractionwatch.com\/2016\/04\/06\/does-this-image-look-familiar-its-from-a-catalog\/#more-36984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">problematiche&#8221;<\/a>\u00a0dell&#8217;oncologa Patrizia Russo dell&#8217;IRCCS San Raffaele-Pisa;<br \/>\n&#8211; il dott. Corrado Magnani e altri 10 ricercatori <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/ebph.it\/article\/view\/11590\/10868\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">chiedono <\/a><\/strong>la ritrattazione per errori grossolani di un paper del trio\u00a0Edward Ilgren, Yumi Kamiya e John Hoskins, noti per sminuire la pericolosit\u00e0 dell&#8217;amianto e non dichiarare di essere pagati da Eternit. I <a href=\"http:\/\/ebph.it\/about\/editorialTeam\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">direttori<\/a> della rivista\u00a0<em>Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health<\/em>,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/docenti.unicatt.it\/ita\/stefania_boccia\/\">Stefania Boccia<\/a>\u00a0e\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.unimi.it\/chiedove\/schedaPersonaXML.jsp?matricola=12711\">Carlo La Vecchia<\/a>\u00a0non vogliono perch\u00e9 due revisori dicono che va bene cos\u00ec. Boicottare EB&amp;PH?<br \/>\n&#8211; da distribuire ai giornalisti, la<a href=\"http:\/\/alertandoriented.com\/a-guide-to-top-medical-journals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> guida (lampo) alle riviste mediche<\/a> di Michel Accad.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p><strong>Panama Papers<\/strong><br \/>\nLegale di 5 compagnie offshore amministrate da MossFon, \u00e8 subito stato <strong>&#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.transparency.org\/news\/pressrelease\/statement_on_the_resignation_of_the_chair_of_our_chapter_in_chile\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dimesso<\/a>&#8221;\u00a0<\/strong> l&#8217;avvocato\u00a0Gonzalo Javier <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.chiletransparente.cl\/nuestra-transparencia\/directorio\/gonzalo-delaveau\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Delaveau Swett<\/a><\/strong>, responsabile\u00a0di <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gamba.cl\/2016\/04\/humor-presidente-de-chile-transparente-es-parte-del-fraude-mundial-del-panama-papers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chile Trasparente<\/a><\/strong>, sede locale di Transparency International. Resta il fatto che non le aveva <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.chiletransparente.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/Declaracion-de-Intereses-Gonzalo-Delaveau.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dichiarate<\/a> <\/strong>nei conflitti d&#8217;interesse. L&#8217;indagine interna di TI \u00e8 in corso.<\/p>\n<p>Non sarebbe il primo <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.treehugger.com\/endangered-species\/king-spain-no-longer-wwf-honorary-president-after-elephant-hunt.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">presidente<\/a><\/strong> o testimonial di &#8220;alto profilo&#8221; a lucidarsi cos\u00ec la reputazione. Morale: facciamone a meno.<\/p>\n<p>Dall&#8217;<em>Economist,<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/news\/leaders\/21696532-more-should-be-done-make-offshore-tax-havens-less-murky-lesson-panama-papers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00a0<strong>editoriale<\/strong><\/a>:<\/p>\n<p><em>Corruption makes the world poorer and less equal. When politicians steal, they reduce the amount of public cash left over for roads or schools. When they give sweetheart contracts to their chums, they defraud taxpayers and deter honest firms from investing in their country. All this hobbles growth.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>Cleaning up tax havens will not end graft. The prime responsibility for this lies with national governments, many of which should do more to make their finances transparent and their safeguards against cronyism stringent. But it would help if kleptocrats were less able to hide their stashes. Hence co-ordinated global efforts are required to crack down on corporate anonymity and to stop the middlemen who make it so easy for crooks to launder their loot.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>L&#8217;articolo &#8220;<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/news\/international\/21696497-huge-trove-documents-has-revealed-secrets-offshore-business-presaging-tougher\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">A torrential leak<\/a><\/strong>&#8221; \u00e8 ottimista:<\/p>\n<p><em>The furore over the Mossack documents suggests that leaks will do more than any politician to sink tax havens. As the public mood towards offshore shenanigans hardens, more employees of financial and law firms seem to feel morally compelled to pilfer data and hand it to reporters or governments. Some believe the spate of whistle-blowing since the global financial crisis has helped cool interest in using shell companies; Mossack has closed more than it has opened in recent years.<\/em> (&#8230;)<br \/>\n<em>And there is plenty more beyond Mossack that might be leaked: the firm has only 5-10% of the global market for shell companies. No wonder that, as one adviser to the wealthy puts it, \u201cWe\u2019re now telling clients they have to assume anything they do offshore will become public, and they\u2019ll have to be able to justify it when it does.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fig. 4 riassuntiva, margini di errore in rosso e blu Su Science Advances, la rivista open access di Science, Surendra Adhikari ed Erik Ivins del JPL usano le misure geodetiche\/gravitazionali dei satelliti Grace, principalmente, per mappare gli spostamenti dei poli \u00a0dal Canada verso la Norvegia (moto uguale e contrario a sud) dal 2003 al 2015&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2016\/04\/09\/pole-position\/\">Continua a leggere <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Pole position<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,23,26],"tags":[385,2993,4563,5153,5959],"class_list":["post-29750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-clima","category-non-profit","category-psicologia","tag-amianto","tag-ghiacci-polari","tag-modelli","tag-panama-papers","tag-ritrattazioni","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29750","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29750"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29750\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44110,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29750\/revisions\/44110"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29750"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29750"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29750"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}