{"id":31165,"date":"2016-12-07T15:01:11","date_gmt":"2016-12-07T14:01:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=31165"},"modified":"2021-12-12T17:23:12","modified_gmt":"2021-12-12T16:23:12","slug":"la-legge-di-brandolini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2016\/12\/07\/la-legge-di-brandolini\/","title":{"rendered":"La legge di Brandolini"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/chaoticpharmacology.files.wordpress.com\/2014\/12\/bullshit-asymmetry-brandolini.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ziobrando\/status\/289635060758507521\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fonte: ziobrando<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mentre l&#8217;oca s. invita i volontari a correggere le bufale di robikappa02 sotto &#8220;<strong>Simmer Down<\/strong>&#8220;, su\u00a0<em>Nature<\/em> Phil Williamson rivolge lo stesso invito agli scienziati:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Most researchers who have tried to engage online with ill-informed journalists or pseudoscientists will be miliar with Brandolini\u2019s law (also known as the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle): the amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than that needed to produce it. Is it really worth taking the time and effort to challenge, correct and clarify articles that claim to be about science but in most cases seem to represent a political ideology?<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">I think it is.\u00a0Challenging falsehoods and misrepresentation may not seem to have any immediate effect, but someone, somewhere, will hear or read our response. The target is not the peddler of nonsense, but those readers who have an open mind on scientific problems. A lie may be able to travel around the world before the truth has its shoes on, but an unchallenged untruth will never stop.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Lo pensa anche\u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/variable-variability.blogspot.it\/2016\/12\/scott-adams-non-expert-problem-climate-change.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Victor Venema<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>che\u00a0risponde ai dubbi dell&#8217;<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/dilbertblog.typepad.com\/the_dilbert_blog\/2007\/03\/fossils_are_bul.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">anti-evoluzionista<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/blog.dilbert.com\/post\/154082416051\/the-non-expert-problem-and-climate-change-science\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Scott Adams<\/a>, il disegnatore di\u00a0Dilbert, sulla realt\u00e0 del risc. globale. Va detto che a differenza di un senior scientist del CERN, Scott Adams non diffama n\u00e9 insulta gli interlocutori.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Rif. anche <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/scienceblogs.com\/stoat\/2016\/12\/07\/scott-adams-is-a-tosser\/#.WEiHedSwTbY.twitter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Stoat<\/a><\/strong>, <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.hotwhopper.com\/2016\/12\/scott-adams-puff-piece-on-disputing.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hot Whopper<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0su S. Adams, e Graham Redfearn sulla &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/planet-oz\/2016\/dec\/06\/more-terrifying-than-trump-the-booming-conspiracy-culture-of-climate-science-denial?CMP=share_btn_tw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">booming conspiracy culture of climate science denial<\/a>&#8220;.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Su un tema affine, Lovejoy della McGill et al. hanno demolito sulle <a href=\"http:\/\/www.physics.mcgill.ca\/~gang\/eprints\/eprintLovejoy\/neweprint\/GRL54794.proof.only.SL.8.8.16.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Geophysical Res. Letters<\/em><\/a>\u00a0in luglio e ora in versione per dummies il <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.physics.mcgill.ca\/~gang\/eprints\/eprintLovejoy\/neweprint\/Keenan.GNF.model.unveiled.6.12.16.pdf\">modello stocastico <\/a><\/strong>del clima passato, creato dal<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informath.org\/media\/a42.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> finanziere <\/a>inglese <a href=\"https:\/\/andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com\/2015\/11\/20\/a-stupid-100000-bet\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Doug Keenan<\/a>, che di suo ne aveva cestinati 33. <a href=\"http:\/\/andrewgelman.com\/2015\/12\/09\/why-i-decided-not-to-enter-the-100000-global-warming-time-series-challenge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Concorrevano<\/a> al premio di $100.000 promessi da Keenan per chi metteva in discussione, come <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.metoffice.gov.uk\/2013\/05\/31\/a-response-on-statistical-models-and-global-temperature\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sperava <\/a><\/strong>di fare lui,<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) statistical uncertainty assumptions and hence to undermine the empirical basis of the anthropogenic warming theory.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Conclusione di Lovejoy et al. sulle 1000 serie random del modello Keenan calibrato sulle temperature dall&#8217;Ottocento in poi:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\">We would like to take this opportunity to thank Keenan for fleshing out the Giant Natural Fluctuation (GNF) hypothesis with a trendless stochastic model with statistics very close to those of the anthropocene temperatures. His model clearly demonstrates that pre-industrial temperature information is needed to reject the GNF hypothesis and that anthropogenic warming is a scientific, not a statistical problem.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>O&#8217;s digest in ritardo<\/strong><br \/>\nA Roma la settimana scorsa, la <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.fao.org\/3\/a-mr651e.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FAO e l&#8217;OMS<\/a><\/strong> hanno lanciato la<strong>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fao.org\/about\/meetings\/sustainable-food-systems-nutrition-symposium\/en\/\">Decade of Action on Nutrition<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0dell&#8217;ONU, con le solite buone intenzioni che non scontentano i governanti (riforma agraria? lotta alla corruzione? rule of law anyone?). \u00a0Su <em>Nature<\/em>, erano usciti\u00a0&#8220;Comments&#8221; che dovrebbero interessare le Ong.<br \/>\nPavan Sukhdev et al. <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/fix-food-metrics-1.21050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">presentano <\/a><\/strong>un&#8217;iniziativa per valutare la produzione agricola, tenuto conto di alcuni Scopi dello sviluppo sostenibile (link aggiunto)<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">A new project that aims to deliver such information was launched in October 2016 by The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB), a network of organizations that we are involved with. Called TEEB for Agriculture and Food (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.teebweb.org\/agriculture-and-food\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>TEEBAgriFood<\/strong><\/a>), the project will attempt to provide a framework for a holistic evaluation.<\/p>\n<p>Lawrence Haddad et al. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/a-new-global-research-agenda-for-food-1.21052\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">propongono<\/a> di valutarla in base ai suoi effetti sulla salute<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Around 57 of the 129 countries that have data on undernutrition and obesity are struggling with both. Everywhere, the consumption of vegetables, legumes, fish, nuts, seeds and fruits is much below that recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO). Meanwhile, people are consuming too much fat, processed meat, salt and sugary drinks.<\/p>\n<p>e dieci &#8220;priorit\u00e0 per la ricerca&#8221; perch\u00e9<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">We can only fix problems in our food systems if we diagnose them correctly. If we do not, the world&#8217;s future health and economic problems will be very much greater than they are today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">(Rif. anche\u00a0<em>The Lancet,<\/em>\u00a0&#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/langlo\/article\/PIIS2214-109X(16)30217-0\/fulltext\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The commercial determinants of health<\/a>&#8221;\u00a0e da BBC news un<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/magazine-38160671\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> sunto <\/a><\/strong>delle ricerche sui benefici o meno dei clean cookers.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">*<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/crispr-heavyweights-battle-in-us-patent-court-1.21101\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sara Reardon<\/a><\/strong> ha seguito la prima udienza del processo sui brevetti per la tecnica CRISPR-Cas9, intentato dall&#8217;UC-Berkeley al Broad Institute. Deprimente.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">*<\/p>\n<p>A proposito della ricerca di\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/rspa.royalsocietypublishing.org\/content\/472\/2196\/20160404\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Stephenson et al. <\/a>su 424 eclissi del Sole, e del perch\u00e9 da 2,7 millenni l&#8217;anno terrestre si allunga di 1,8 millisecondi invece di 2,3 millisecondi come dovrebbe grazie all&#8217;attrazione gravitazionale della Luna, c&#8217;\u00e8 un bell&#8217;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/science\/2016\/dec\/07\/earths-day-lengthens-by-two-milliseconds-a-century-astronomers-find\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">articolo<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0del\u00a0<em>Guardian <\/em>ma con un incipit strano (&#8220;600km&#8221;?).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>fonte: ziobrando Mentre l&#8217;oca s. invita i volontari a correggere le bufale di robikappa02 sotto &#8220;Simmer Down&#8220;, su\u00a0Nature Phil Williamson rivolge lo stesso invito agli scienziati: Most researchers who have tried to engage online with ill-informed journalists or pseudoscientists will be miliar with Brandolini\u2019s law (also known as the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle): the amount of&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2016\/12\/07\/la-legge-di-brandolini\/\">Continua a leggere <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">La legge di Brandolini<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,8,10,23],"tags":[214,329,1714,4725,6224,6807],"class_list":["post-31165","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-astronomia","category-bufala","category-clima","category-non-profit","tag-agricoltura","tag-alimentazione","tag-crispr-cas9","tag-nature","tag-sdg","tag-the-lancet","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31165","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31165"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31165\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44581,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31165\/revisions\/44581"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31165"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31165"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31165"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}