{"id":31984,"date":"2017-05-26T16:37:15","date_gmt":"2017-05-26T14:37:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ocasapiens-dweb.blogautore.repubblica.it\/?p=31984"},"modified":"2021-12-19T20:48:40","modified_gmt":"2021-12-19T19:48:40","slug":"un-parco-delle-bufale-versione-lusso","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2017\/05\/26\/un-parco-delle-bufale-versione-lusso\/","title":{"rendered":"Un Parco delle bufale, versione lusso"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Su <em>Scientific Reports<\/em>, l&#8217;altro ieri \u00e8 uscito un paper piuttosto originale, forse dovuto a un&#8217;epidemia d&#8217;orticaria fra superstar del clima:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades<\/a><\/strong>, Benjamin D. Santer,\u00a0Susan Solomon,\u00a0Frank J. Wentz,\u00a0Qiang Fu,\u00a0Stephen Po-Chedley,\u00a0Carl Mears,\u00a0Jeffrey F. Painter\u00a0e\u00a0C\u00e9line Bonfils<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">After a recent Senate confirmation hearing, Scott Pruitt \u2013 the new Administrator of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency \u2013 received a written question regarding observed warming estimates. In response, Mr. Pruitt claimed that \u201cover the past two decades satellite data indicates there has been a leveling off of warming\u201d<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e509\" title=\"U. S. Senate. Available online at: https:\/\/www.epw.senate.gov\/public\/_cache\/files\/6d95005c-bd1a-4779-af7e-be831db6866a\/scott-pruitt-qfr-responses-01.18.2017.pdf U. S. Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Hearing, \u201cNomination of Attorney General Scott Pruitt to be Administrator of the U. S. Environmental Protection Agency\u201d, January 18, 2017 (Date of access: 28\/03\/2017) (2017).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR1\">1<\/a>. We test this claim here. In the following, we assume the satellite data referred to by Mr. Pruitt are measurements of the temperature of the lowest layer of the atmosphere (the troposphere). These measurements were the focus of recent Congressional testimony<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e513\" title=\"U. S. Senate, Available online at: http:\/\/www.commerce.senate.gov\/public\/index.cfm\/2015\/12\/data-or-dogma-promoting-open-inquiry-in-the-debate-over-the-magnitude-of-human-impact-on-earth-s-climate. \u201cData or Dogma? Promoting open inquiry in the debate over the magnitude of human impact on Earth\u2019s climate\u201d. Archived webcast of Hearing before the U. S. Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, Subcommittee on Space, Science, and Competitiveness, December 8, 2015 (Date of access: 28\/03\/2017) (2015).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR2\">2<\/a>. We update and extend the analysis in ref.\u00a0<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e516\" title=\"Santer, B. D. et al. Comparing tropospheric warming in climate models and satellite data. J. Clim.\n                           30, 373\u2013392, doi:\n                    10.1175\/JCLI-D-16-0333.1\n                   (2017).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR3\">3<\/a>\u00a0using satellite temperature data spanning the period from January 1979 to December 2016.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wmhbnews.files.wordpress.com\/2017\/03\/images-1.jpg?w=736\" alt=\"Immagine correlata\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Segue una spiegazione per il dummy di cosa misurano i sensori satellitari e un&#8217;analisi dell&#8217;andamento lineare a ventennio per le varie serie di temperature. Non per rovinare il finale a sorpresa, ma &#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><strong>Results <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">In each of the six satellite datasets, all 20-year TMT trends are <strong>positive,<\/strong> irrespective of the trend start date.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Recent 20-year trends are smaller than most of the earlier 20-year trend values. This is due to the combined effects of multiple factors: the anomalous warmth at the beginning of the last 20 years (arising from a large El Ni\u00f1o event in 1997\/98), the shift from a warm phase to a cold phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation in the late 1990s<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e616\" title=\"Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. T., Hu, A. &amp; Trenberth, K. E. Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods. Nat. Cli. Change\n                           1, 360\u2013364, doi:\n                    10.1038\/nclimate1229\n                   (2011).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR14\">14<\/a>,<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e616_1\" title=\"Fyfe, J. C. et al. Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nat. Clim. Change\n                           6, 224\u2013228, doi:\n                    10.1038\/nclimate2938\n                   (2016).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR15\">15<\/a>,<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e616_2\" title=\"England, M. H. et al. Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus. Nat. Clim. Change\n                           4, 222\u2013227, doi:\n                    10.1038\/nclimate2106\n                   (2014).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR16\">16<\/a>,<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e619\" title=\"Trenberth, K. E. Has there been a hiatus? Science\n                           349, 791\u2013792, doi:\n                    10.1126\/science.aac9225\n                   (2015).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR17\">17<\/a>, changes in other modes of internal variability<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e623\" title=\"Kosaka, Y. &amp; Xie, S.-P. Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling. Nature\n                           501, 403\u2013407, doi:\n                    10.1038\/nature12534\n                   (2013).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR18\">18<\/a>,<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e623_1\" title=\"Risbey, J. S. et al. Well-estimated global surface warming in climate projections selected for ENSO phase. Nat. Clim. Change\n                           4, 835\u2013840, doi:\n                    10.1038\/nclimate2310\n                   (2014).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR19\">19<\/a>,<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e626\" title=\"Steinman, B. A., Mann, M. E. &amp; Miller, S. K. Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures. Science\n                           347, 988\u2013991, doi:\n                    10.1126\/science.1257856\n                   (2015).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR20\">20<\/a>, a succession of moderate volcanic eruptions in the early 21st century<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e630\" title=\"Solomon, S. et al. The persistently variable \u201cbackground\u201d stratospheric aerosol layer and global climate change. Science\n                           333, 866\u2013870, doi:\n                    10.1126\/science.1206027\n                   (2011).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR21\">21<\/a>,<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e630_1\" title=\"Vernier, J.-P. et al. Major influence of tropical volcanic eruptions on the stratospheric aerosol layer during the last decade. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, doi:\n                    10.1029\/2011GL047563\n                   (2011).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR22\">22<\/a>,<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e633\" title=\"Ridley, D. A. et al. Total volcanic stratospheric aerosol optical depths and implications for global climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett.\n                           41, 7763\u20137769, doi:\n                    10.1002\/2014GL061541\n                   (2014).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR23\">23<\/a>, a long and low minimum in solar output during the last solar cycle<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e638\" title=\"Kopp, G. &amp; Lean, J. L. A new, lower value of total solar irradiance: Evidence and climate significance. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L01706, doi:\n                    10.1029\/2010GL045777\n                   (2011).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR24\">24<\/a>, and an increase in anthropogenic sulphate pollution<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e642\" title=\"Smith, D. M. et al. Role of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the recent global surface warming slowdown. Nat. Clim. Change\n                           6, 936\u2013940, doi:\n                    10.1038\/nclimate3058\n                   (2016).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR25\">25<\/a>,\u00a0<a id=\"ref-link-section-d24633e645\" title=\"Schmidt, G. A., Shindell, D. T. &amp; Tsigaridis, K. Reconciling warming trends. Nat. Geosci.\n                           7, 1\u20133, doi:\n                    10.1038\/ngeo2105\n                   (2014).\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-017-02520-7#ref-CR26\">26<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Ti\u00e8.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Altra Schadenfreude del venerd\u00ec:<br \/>\n&#8211; sul <strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/climate-consensus-97-per-cent\/2017\/may\/22\/trumps-fox-news-deputy-national-security-advisor-fooled-him-with-climate-fake-news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Guardian<\/a><\/em><\/strong>, Dana Nuccitelli racconta come una complottista di Fox News, nominata vice-consulente della Casa Bianca per la sicurezza nazionale, ha fatto abboccare Trump e trumpisti alla <a href=\"http:\/\/time.com\/4778937\/fake-time-cover-ice-age\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">falsa copertina<\/a> di <em>Time <\/em>che annunciava l&#8217;era\u00a0glaciale:<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/static.rcgroups.net\/forums\/attachments\/4\/0\/0\/9\/5\/a4334152-136-time-magazine-ice-age-global-warming.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n&#8211; nella <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/news.morningstar.com\/all\/dow-jones\/us-markets\/201705261119\/big-investors-weigh-rebuking-exxon-on-climate-wsj.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cronaca finanziaria<\/a><\/strong>, Vanguard e Black Rock &#8211; che gestiscono rispettivamente investimenti per $4 e $5,4 <strong>trilioni<\/strong>, briciole dei quali in Exxon Mobil &#8211; chiedono agli azionisti di Exxon Mobil di bocciarne le bufale sui rischi climatici;<br \/>\n&#8211; nella <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2017\/05\/23\/exxon-must-give-records-to-ny-prosecutor-state-appeals-court-rules.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cronaca giudiziaria<\/a><\/strong>, la Corte d&#8217;appello del Texas conferma che Exxon Mobil deve consegnare i documenti sulla produzione e diffusione agli azionisti di bufale climatiche al Procuratore Schneiderman, perch\u00e9 \u00e8 indagata nello stato di New York e non in Texas dove la poveretta aveva fatto ricorso:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">&#8220;The unanimous appeals court rightly affirmed the lower court&#8217;s decision and rejected Exxon&#8217;s frivolous claims, which were merely one of the many tactics the company has employed in its campaign of delay and distraction,&#8221; said Schneiderman&#8217;s spokeswoman, Amy Spitalnick.<\/p>\n<p>(la legge prevede la &#8220;full disclosure&#8221; dei rischi per le aziende quotate in borsa.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p>Dopo che<a href=\"http:\/\/www.spiegel.de\/gesundheit\/diagnose\/impfen-kitas-sollen-impfmuffel-beim-gesundheitsamt-melden-a-1149339.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> una donna di 37 anni \u00e8 morta di morbillo<\/a> a Essen tre giorni fa, il governo tedesco ha presentato una nuova legge:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Parents in Germany who fail to seek medical advice on vaccinating their children could face fines of up to \u20ac2,500.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Under the plan, the children of parents who fail to seek vaccination advice could be expelled from their daycare centre. The law is expected to be adopted next month.<\/p>\n<p>da<a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-europe-40056680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00a0<strong>BBC<\/strong><\/a>. Il ministro della salute \u00a0ha escluso un obbligo come quello deciso\u00a0<a title=\"in Italien eingef\u00fchrt\" href=\"http:\/\/www.spiegel.de\/gesundheit\/diagnose\/masern-mumps-kinderlaehmung-italien-fuehrt-impfpflicht-fuer-kinder-ein-a-1148597.html\">in Italia<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Su Scientific Reports, l&#8217;altro ieri \u00e8 uscito un paper piuttosto originale, forse dovuto a un&#8217;epidemia d&#8217;orticaria fra superstar del clima: Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades, Benjamin D. Santer,\u00a0Susan Solomon,\u00a0Frank J. Wentz,\u00a0Qiang Fu,\u00a0Stephen Po-Chedley,\u00a0Carl Mears,\u00a0Jeffrey F. Painter\u00a0e\u00a0C\u00e9line Bonfils After a recent Senate confirmation hearing, Scott Pruitt \u2013 the new Administrator of the U.S. Environmental&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/2017\/05\/26\/un-parco-delle-bufale-versione-lusso\/\">Continua a leggere <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Un Parco delle bufale, versione lusso<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[2365,2504,6216,6728,7108],"class_list":["post-31984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bufala","tag-era-glaciale","tag-exxon-mobil","tag-scott-pruitt","tag-temperature-satellitari","tag-vaccini","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31984","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31984"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31984\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44911,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31984\/revisions\/44911"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31984"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31984"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archivio.ocasapiens.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31984"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}